www.economica.net/recesiune-sau-nu-dupa-cresterea-

Romania's economic growth in Q3 2026 has surprised analysts, leading to revised forecasts. BCR has adjusted its recession prediction from -0.7% to -0.1%, while ING remains cautious about changing its 2026 outlook. Despite a 2.1% GDP increase in Q3, the overall annual outlook still suggests a slight recession. Investments, particularly from the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR), are credited for the growth, although private consumption remains weak. The National Institute of Statistics reports a 0.3% decline in GDP for the first nine months of 2026 compared to last year. Analysts express differing views on the likelihood of avoiding recession, with some expecting a slight contraction by year-end.