www.economica.net/bnr-are-azi-ultima-sedinta-de-po

The National Bank of Romania is expected to keep the key interest rate unchanged at 6.5% during its last monetary policy meeting of the year. Analysts predict an upward revision of the short-term inflation forecast, with inflation pressures likely to persist. The bank's communication may be less accommodative compared to previous meetings. Economists anticipate that the interest rate will remain stable at least until May 2027, contingent on fiscal consolidation and the end of monetary tightening in the eurozone. Current liquidity conditions reflect efforts to counter depreciation pressures on the leu, with the effective interest rate rising to 6.07%. BCR forecasts an inflation rate of 7.0% by the end of 2026, decreasing to 3.8% by the end of 2027, supported by credible fiscal consolidation and political stability.