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The recent Democratic victory in the U.S. has created an opportunity for Moscow, as Trump seeks foreign policy success before the new Congress takes over. Following the elections, Trump met with a Russian envoy to discuss potential peace talks regarding Ukraine. Moscow aims to reshape European security and may link negotiations on Ukraine to broader military presence issues. Despite uncertainty about Russia's influence over Iran, Trump is eager for diplomatic achievements. If significant concessions are not made by Washington soon, Russia is likely to maintain pressure on Ukraine and its allies, continuing its military strategy while hoping to force compromises from Europe.

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