economedia.ro/erste-romania-risca-o-noua-contracti

Romania's economy may experience a slight contraction in Q3 2026 due to fiscal consolidation effects, according to Erste Group Research. Preliminary GDP data is expected this week, alongside inflation and industrial production figures. The National Bank of Romania is likely to maintain the key interest rate at 6.5%. In contrast, Poland is projected to report a 3.8% economic growth, while Slovakia faces modest economic activity. Romania recently raised €4.5 billion through international bond issuance, covering about 80% of its annual financing needs. However, Romanian government bonds have underperformed compared to regional peers, attributed to political uncertainty. Upcoming economic data will provide insights into the impact of fiscal measures on the economy.