adevarul.ro/economie/ce-ii-asteapta-pe-romani-pana

Romania's economy is projected to contract in 2026, with inflation continuing to erode purchasing power and wage growth insufficient to offset rising prices. The National Commission for Strategy and Prognosis (CNSP) has revised its economic outlook, predicting a GDP contraction of 0.4% for 2026, influenced by inflationary pressures and external conflicts. Although nominal GDP is expected to rise, real economic activity will decline. Inflation is forecasted to average 8.4% in 2026, with gradual decreases in subsequent years. Despite nominal wage increases, real wages are expected to fall by 3.3% in 2026, leading to reduced purchasing power for households. A slow recovery is anticipated from 2027 onwards, with modest GDP growth and gradual improvements in real wages.