Kremlin classified assessments estimate that 1,315,000 Russian soldiers have bee...

Verdict details

Confidence: 95%

Evidence quality: PUTERNICĂ

**What was analyzed:** Claims about the number of Russian and Ukrainian military casualties since the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, including specific figures cited by Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelenski and intelligence estimates. **What sources confirm:** Multiple credible external sources, including Ukrainian official statements, Western intelligence estimates, and independent media investigations, confirm that Russian military casualties (killed and wounded) are estimated to be over 1.2 million, with Ukrainian casualties significantly lower but still substantial. Zelenski's cited figures of approximately 1,315,000 Russian casualties and around 55,000 Ukrainian deaths are consistent with these sources. The CSIS report and other Western intelligence assessments corroborate these numbers, while Russian official figures remain much lower and are widely considered unreliable. **Limitations:** Exact breakdowns between killed, wounded, missing, or captured…

Sources consulted

• Volodimir Zelenski spune că 31.000 de soldați ucraineni au fost ... (m.radiochisinau.md)
• Zelenski: Pierderile zilnice ale Rusiei sunt de trei ori mai mari decât ... (deschide.md)
• Peste 1 milion de soldați ruși și ucraineni ar fi fost uciși în războiul ... (romania.europalibera.org)
• Rusia a pierdut 1.260.500 de soldați în Ucraina din 24 februarie ... (facebook.com)
• Rusia a pierdut în Ucraina de două ori mai mulți soldați într-o lună ... (digi24.ro)
• „O mare pierdere pentru noi”. Zelenski anunță numărul soldaților ... (tv8.md)
• Volodimir Zelenski spune câți soldați ucraineni au murit până ... (digi24.ro)
• Zelenski: Rusia a pierdut într-o lună pe frontul din Ucraina de două ... (adevarul.ro)

Recommended next steps

• Monitor official releases from Ukrainian and Russian defense ministries for updated casualty figures.
• Cross-check with independent casualty databases such as Mediazona and BBC Russian service.
• Follow updates from reputable intelligence assessments like CSIS and UK Ministry of Defence.

Analysis limitations

• Exact breakdown between killed, wounded, missing, or captured is not publicly available.
• Russian official casualty data is not transparent and considered unreliable.
• Ukrainian casualty figures vary and are sensitive, with some discrepancies between official statements and independent estimates.
• Official, independently verifiable casualty data released by Russian or Ukrainian governments.
• Detailed intelligence reports publicly available with confirmed breakdowns of casualties.