SUA estimează că o invazie chineză în Taiwan este puțin probabilă, în ciuda obiectivelor setate de Beijing

U.S. officials now see a Chinese invasion of Taiwan as unlikely before 2028, despite Xi Jinping's earlier military readiness deadline of 2027. Delays in China's military preparations, due to anti-corruption purges, and the desire to wait for Taiwan's 2028 elections contribute to this assessment. Analysts suggest that Beijing may increase military pressure after the elections, especially if the ruling party wins again. The anti-corruption campaign has disrupted military readiness, with significant leadership losses. While military exercises have increased this year, China has not met all its preparation goals. U.S. remains Taiwan's main arms supplier, and Trump previously indicated an invasion would not occur during his presidency.