Scenariul unui colaps istoric: China pierde 800 de milioane de oameni până în 2100. Ce indică prăbușirea

China is projected to experience a significant demographic decline, potentially losing 800 million people by 2100, according to UN estimates. The country's population, which peaked at 1.41 billion in 2021, is expected to drop to around 633 million, comparable to levels seen in the late 1950s. This decline is primarily driven by decreasing fertility rates, which have fallen from 2.6 in the late 1980s to approximately 1.01 in 2024. In contrast, India, now the most populous country, is expected to continue growing until around 2060, with a median age significantly younger than China's. The demographic trajectories of these two nations are diverging sharply, indicating contrasting futures.