Scenariul care pune NATO în alertă: cum ar putea încerca Rusia să rupă Alianța fără o invazie pe scară largă

The ISW analyzes a potential Russian strategy to create a crisis within NATO without a large-scale invasion, focusing on Narva, Estonia. This scenario involves infiltrated agents, separatist groups, and drone attacks, aiming to provoke internal discord among NATO allies. The analysis suggests that Russia could leverage existing Russian-speaking populations in Estonia to claim persecution and justify intervention. Instead of a full military assault, Russia might employ drones to support local groups, creating a situation that challenges NATO's collective defense principles. This approach could test the unity of the alliance without triggering a direct invasion.