Scenarii-șoc prezentate de Anthropic: AI ar putea îmbogăți masiv economia, dar milioane de oameni și-ar putea pierde locurile de muncă până în 2030

Anthropic has released three scenarios predicting how AI could significantly impact the U.S. economy by 2030, potentially leading to high unemployment in office jobs. The economic model suggests varying degrees of growth, with the most optimistic scenario projecting a 15.4% annual growth rate, but also a 21.5% decline in cognitive job employment. The study indicates that while the economy could grow substantially, the benefits may shift from workers to capital owners, reducing labor's share of national income. Public expectations align more closely with a moderate scenario, anticipating an 8% economic increase and a 4% drop in cognitive job occupancy.