Șase riscuri pentru economia României în 2027. CFA: „Economia ar putea crește cu doar 0-0,5%. Modelul de creștere economică s-a schimbat. Riscul de downgrade în junk se va menține mulți ani de acum încolo”

CFA Romania forecasts a modest economic recovery for Romania in 2027, with GDP growth of 0-0.5% and inflation at 4-5%. The organization highlights that investments from EU funds will be crucial, but fiscal consolidation and external risks may hinder growth. The report indicates that consumption will not drive growth as before, and purchasing power is expected to stagnate or decline. Additionally, salary increases are predicted to be modest, aligning only with inflation. The fiscal deficit is estimated at around 6% of GDP, with ongoing budget pressures. The risk of a sovereign rating downgrade remains, and significant improvements in economic growth and deficit reduction are necessary for a stable rating outlook.