Raport ING: România și-a pierdut „viteza” de creștere / Economia poate avansa cu doar 2% pe an, față de 3,5%-3,75% înainte de pandemie

Romania's potential economic growth has decreased to around 2%, down from pre-pandemic levels of 3.5%-3.75%. ING highlights that the country's productivity, labor force, and companies' ability to utilize new infrastructure will be crucial for future growth. Despite significant past recovery, the economy is expected to face challenges, including a projected contraction in 2026. The current economic slowdown is attributed to cyclical factors, while structural issues persist. ING anticipates a gradual recovery in potential growth to 2.4%-2.7% by 2027-2029, contingent on improved productivity and labor utilization. The demographic decline poses additional challenges, but increasing labor participation could enhance potential GDP significantly.