O mare bancă a lumii susține că S&P nu va retrograda România vineri. Ce spune despre guvernul Mureșan
Citi's analysis suggests Romania will avoid a downgrade from S&P this week, but risks may arise in early 2027 due to political instability. The current budget execution is strong, with a 10-year bond yield near 7.55%. The upcoming parliamentary vote for Prime Minister Mureșan is critical, as PSD has indicated it will not support him. Citi predicts a technocratic premier may be appointed to ensure budget continuity. The likelihood of a downgrade increases in early 2027 if fiscal consolidation efforts wane. A functional government and a serious budget are essential to mitigate risks, while foreign investors remain cautious amid high inflation and uncertainty.