Nota de plată a schimbărilor climatice, imposibil de stabilit exact. De ce calculele diferă atât de mult

A new study reveals that estimating economic damages from climate change is complex, with different methods yielding varying results. Researchers compared real weather events to hypothetical scenarios without global warming, using two main approaches: one assessing the likelihood of extreme events and the other evaluating their intensity. For Hurricane Harvey, estimates of climate-related costs varied significantly between methods, raising questions about their validity. Both approaches can be valid but produce different estimates for individual events, highlighting the inherent uncertainty in determining climate change costs. This uncertainty may affect adaptation measures and legal accountability for climate damages.