ISW: Rusia nu poate cuceri Donețkul înainte de 2032

Analysts from ISW assert that Russia is far from fully occupying Donetsk, predicting it won't happen before 2032. They argue that Putin's claims of rapid progress are based on distorted reports from the military. The Russian army has not demonstrated the ability to capture major urban centers since 2022, raising doubts about Kremlin objectives. Furthermore, the culture of misinformation within the Russian military affects operational effectiveness and fuels exaggerated claims. Despite some territorial gains, the overall advance remains slow, and Ukrainian forces continue to hold key areas. The Kremlin's narrative of inevitable victory is not supported by the actual situation on the ground, according to analysts.