Încrederea prinde putere, leul o pierde: analiștii CFA văd euro la 5,39 lei peste un an

The CFA Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator rose to 42.9 points in September, yet remains below the neutral threshold of 50. Analysts expect inflation to decrease and the leu to weaken, predicting an exchange rate of 5.39 lei per euro in a year. Despite the increase in confidence, the economic growth forecast is modest, with GDP growth expected to slow from 0.7% to 0.1%. Most analysts foresee a budget deficit reduction and a decline in short-term interest rates, while long-term borrowing costs may rise slightly. Overall, there is a prevailing sentiment of caution regarding the Romanian economy's future.