FMI avertizează după șase luni de război în Orientul Mijlociu: economia mondială rezistă, dar „riscurile rămân ridicate”

The global economy has shown greater resilience to the energy shock from the Middle East conflict than expected, according to the IMF. However, the institution warns that the safety net used so far is depleting as winter approaches in the Northern Hemisphere. The IMF projects a global growth rate of about 3% for 2026, with a slower pace than the average of 3.5% in 2024 and 2025. Countries have mitigated the crisis's impact by utilizing oil and gas reserves and finding alternative energy sources, but these measures are not sustainable long-term. The IMF highlights the dual forces affecting the economy: the negative supply shock from the war and the positive demand shock from AI investments. Inflation remains a concern, with global inflation projected at 4.7% for 2026, and public debt nearing 100% of GDP poses additional risks, especially for advanced economies and developing countries.