Erste estimează că România își va păstra ratingul Investment Grade, chiar dacă riscul de retrogradare este semnificativ - Economica.net

Erste Bank's report indicates that while Central and Eastern European economies are showing resilience, risks remain, particularly for Romania's credit rating. The region has avoided recession, with a modest growth forecast of 1.0% for 2023. However, high commodity prices due to ongoing Middle Eastern conflicts are driving global inflation. Poland is highlighted as a key country to watch, with potential monetary policy tightening if inflation reaches 4%. Upcoming data releases from Slovakia, Hungary, and Romania will provide insights into production prices and retail sales, with expectations of slight moderation in growth. S&P's review of Romania's rating is anticipated soon, with a significant risk of downgrade.