Economia de război a Rusiei riscă să intre în colaps

The Central Bank of Russia remains a key player in the economy amid the war, reducing the key rate despite rising inflation forecasts. The country faces a growing fiscal deficit and challenges in the banking sector due to war-related spending. While oil prices have increased, export volumes have not, leading to a significant drop in energy revenues. The Kremlin is implementing measures to address revenue shortfalls, including tax increases and preferential loans for defense contractors. However, these actions may exacerbate existing economic issues, including a potential banking crisis and rising inflation expectations. The overall economic situation remains precarious, with the civilian economy struggling under high borrowing costs.