De ce nu apar fisuri în zidurile Kremlinului? Construit în jurul lui Putin, regimul absoarbe șoc după șoc, dar sfârșitul războiului din Ucraina ar putea reprezenta testul suprem

Despite predictions of a crisis for Putin's regime after the failed blitzkrieg in Ukraine, it remains resilient. The regime relies on state power and repression, but faces internal challenges. Economic issues alone are unlikely to destabilize it, although the degradation of institutions poses risks. The elite remains consolidated around Putin, but internal fragmentation exists. The return of veterans from the war could lead to increased violence and radicalization. A popular uprising seems unlikely unless elite fragmentation occurs alongside a broader governance crisis. The ongoing war continues to generate tensions, and the post-war transition will be a significant test for the regime.