Cum vede BERD economia României în 2026 şi 2027 - prognoză - Economica.net

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has maintained its forecasts for Romania's economy for 2026 and 2027, warning of persistent negative risks. Following a 0.7% growth in 2025, a decline of 0.2% is expected in 2026, with a recovery to 1.8% growth in 2027. The report highlights a significant contraction in the economy in late 2025 and early 2026, driven by a drop in industrial production and services. Despite some moderation in external imbalances, Romania's current account deficit remains high. Inflation peaked at 9.7% in May 2026 but decreased to 6.3% by August. The budget deficit is projected to be lower in 2026, with a target of 6.2% of GDP achievable. Risks include uncertainties in fiscal policies and weak external demand.