CFA România: 8 din 10 analiști văd leul la 5,37/euro peste un an. Riscul de recesiune rămâne ridicat

CFA România's survey reveals that 80% of analysts expect the leu to depreciate to 5.37 lei/euro in a year, indicating economic concerns. Most anticipate stagnation or decline in residential property prices, with 75% believing current prices are overvalued. The projected budget deficit for 2026 has increased to 6.4% of GDP, while economic growth expectations remain near 0%. Analysts foresee public debt rising to 63% of GDP and predict Brent oil prices at $85/barrel. Despite a slight increase in confidence due to internal and external factors, recession risks persist.