BNR ține dobânda-cheie la 6,5%. Avertisment pentru români: inflația ar putea crește din nou

The National Bank of Romania has maintained the key interest rate at 6.5%, despite a significant drop in inflation during summer months. However, BNR warns that inflation may rise again by year-end due to increasing fuel and energy prices, as well as fluctuations in raw material costs and exchange rates. The annual inflation rate decreased from 10.42% in June to 6.17% in August, influenced by the removal of energy price caps and reduced food prices. Economic activity stagnated in Q2 2026, with a slight contraction in GDP. The labor market shows signs of weakness, with a decrease in employment numbers. BNR highlights significant risks to the economy, including geopolitical tensions and energy crises, which could impact consumer purchasing power and business activity.