BNR temperează așteptările: Redresarea economică din a doua parte a anului încetinește

The Romanian National Bank (BNR) indicates a slower economic recovery in the second half of 2026, primarily driven by agriculture. Economic activity is expected to improve, but at a reduced pace compared to previous forecasts. The third quarter may see weaker performance than last year, largely due to investment dynamics. The trade balance is worsening, with exports declining more than imports. Recent stagnation in the economy was noted, following a contraction earlier in the year. Investment has helped mitigate economic decline, while consumer spending continues to drop. Uncertainties from geopolitical conflicts and energy crises pose risks to economic outlook and inflation. The BNR maintains its monetary policy rates unchanged.