BNR estimează o redresare mai modestă a economiei României în trimestrele II și III

The National Bank of Romania forecasts a modest economic recovery in Q2 and Q3 2026, with a slower reduction in aggregate demand deficit than previously expected. Economic activity stagnated in Q1 2026, following a contraction in late 2025, primarily due to negative inventory changes and reduced household consumption. Investment growth has slowed, particularly in the public sector, while net exports have diminished. Inflation rates have decreased slightly but remain high, influenced by rising energy prices and rental costs. Labor market conditions show signs of stabilization, with a slight decrease in unemployment rates. However, uncertainties regarding future labor costs persist.