BNR avertizează că inflația va crește până la finalul anului, peste estimările din august. Cursul leului rămâne sub presiune

Romania's inflation is expected to rise until the end of 2026, driven by fuel and energy price increases, as well as currency fluctuations. The National Bank of Romania has maintained the key interest rate at 6.5% despite high risks to the leu due to twin deficits and political uncertainties. Recent inflation rates showed a significant decrease, but core inflation remains elevated. Economic activity stagnated in Q2 2026, with a notable decline in household consumption. Labor market conditions are loosening, with rising unemployment rates, although hiring intentions have improved. Overall, uncertainties regarding future labor costs persist, influenced by high inflation expectations and public sector salary policies.