BCR revizuiește în jos, la -0,7%, estimarea privind evoluția PIB-ului României în 2026

BCR forecasts a recession for Romania in 2026, with a real GDP contraction of 0.7%, revised down from a previous estimate of -0.3%. Political instability is impacting Romania's fiscal credibility and current account balance. Moody's has warned that failure to reach a political agreement on public sector salaries could negatively affect Romania's sovereign credit profile. The report indicates that while Romania may emerge from recession, economic activity will remain modest in the second half of 2026, with weak consumer demand offset by EU-supported investments. Inflation is expected to stabilize at 6.4% by year-end, and the BNR is likely to maintain the policy interest rate at 6.50%.