economedia.ro/comisia-de-prognoza-isi-inrautateste

The National Commission for Strategy and Prognosis (CNSP) forecasts a 0.4% economic contraction for 2026, revising previous growth estimates downward. The nominal GDP is adjusted upward to 2,086.3 billion lei, reflecting geopolitical tensions and high inflation impacting purchasing power. The industrial sector is expected to see a significant decline, while construction and agriculture show positive growth. Private consumption is projected to decrease by 1.6%, influenced by reduced purchasing power and fiscal consolidation measures. Inflation estimates have been raised, with an expected rate of 6.4% by year-end. Employment is also projected to decline, with an unemployment rate of 6.6%.