Analiză ING: România intră în a doua jumătate a anului 2026 cu o evoluție economică modestă/ Riscul unei retrogradări a ratingului de țară rămâne ridicat

Romania's economic outlook for the second half of 2026 shows modest growth with signs of macroeconomic rebalancing, according to ING's analysis. Investment from EU funds is helping to mitigate economic slowdown. However, risks of a country rating downgrade remain high due to persistent inflation and uncertainties in public policy. The analysis predicts a 0.5% contraction in GDP for 2026, followed by a recovery of 2.3% in 2027. The fiscal deficit is expected to be around 6.0% of GDP, with significant improvements noted. Inflation is projected to end 2026 at approximately 6.0%.