Analiștii CFA cred că economia românească se îndreaptă spre stagflație: Indicatorul de încredere al CFA România a scăzut semnificativ în august, iar analiștii așteaptă ca leul să se devalorizeze față de Euro până la un curs de 5,36 lei

The macroeconomic confidence indicator in Romania dropped significantly in August, reflecting concerns over economic stagnation and persistent inflation. The CFA Romania Association reported a decline of 4.8 points, reaching 39.5 points, primarily due to worsened expectations. Analysts predict continued stagflation, with over 90% anticipating a depreciation of the leu against the euro in the next year. Inflation expectations slightly decreased to 6.09%, but remain high. GDP growth forecasts for 2026 are bleak, with estimates around 0.1%, and public debt is expected to rise to 63% of GDP. In the real estate sector, most analysts believe housing prices are overvalued, with mixed predictions for future price trends. Geopolitical tensions are also influencing oil prices, projected at $87 per barrel.