Agenția Moody’s dă un semnal extrem de puternic, înaintea votului pentru guvernul Luca Niculescu

Moody's highlights that the establishment of a new government and timely budget approval for 2027 are crucial for Romania's credit profile. The agency forecasts a 0.5% economic contraction in 2026 and an average inflation rate of 8.2%. Political stability and a credible budget are vital for maintaining access to financing, especially with funding needs exceeding 10% of GDP in the next two years. The upcoming vote of confidence for Prime Minister Luca Niculescu's government is scheduled for October 20. Moody's warns that failure to secure the necessary votes could lead to early elections and jeopardize budget approval. The agency also notes rising public spending pressures and a projected budget deficit of 5.5% of GDP in 2027, emphasizing the importance of political stability for financial market access.